Backtest Research
EMA9/21 · RSI9 · MACD(8,17,9) · ATR10 · BB(20,2) · $10k virtual capital
2025 Backtest — All Models
#5 claude-opus-4-6
#3 grok-3-beta
#2 qwen-max
#1 gpt-4o
Claude
runningFinal Balance
$—
from $10000.00
Return
—
552 closed trades
Win Rate
—
1071 decisions
Progress
4%
running
Decision breakdown (last 200)
LONG113
SHORT6
HOLD73
CLOSE8
Equity curve
Showing last 200 of 1,071 decisions
| Time | Symbol | Action | Conf. | Lev. | Price | EMA9 | EMA21 | RSI9 | MACD H | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/15, 20:00 | SOL | LONG | 50% | 4.0x | 202 | 202 | 201 | 65.3 | -0.0219 | SOL above EMAs, RSI moderate at 65, MACD histogram slightly negative showing weak momentum. Price near upper BB. Smaller position due to mixed signals, looking for continuation of uptrend. |
| 01/15, 20:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 3443 | 3431 | 3412 | 75.1 | -0.6155 | ETH above both EMAs with strong trend, RSI 75 getting overbought and MACD histogram slightly negative - caution. Price near upper BB. Riding momentum but tighter risk given overbought signals. |
| 01/15, 20:00 | BTC | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 99896 | 99658 | 99529 | 69.0 | 20.3843 | BTC price above both EMAs, MACD histogram positive and rising, strong momentum from cycle -3 oversold bounce. Price at upper BB so moderate size. EMA20>EMA50 bullish cross confirmed. |
| 01/15, 19:00 | SOL | LONG | 50% | 4.0x | 201 | 201 | 200 | 62.3 | -0.0722 | SOL slightly above EMA20/EMA50, RSI 62 is neutral-bullish. MACD histogram slightly negative (-0.07) showing weakening momentum. Price mid-BB range. Less conviction than ETH - smaller size and lower leverage. TP at 0.93%, SL at 0.91%. |
| 01/15, 19:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 3372 | 3366 | 3357 | 74.5 | 0.0923 | ETH trending up - price above EMA20 and EMA50, MACD line above signal with positive histogram. RSI 74.5 is elevated but not extreme. Price near upper BB 3379 so some risk of pullback. Moderate position size. TP at 0.54% from entry, SL at 0.79% giving room within BB range. |
| 01/15, 19:00 | BTC | HOLD | 60% | 5.0x | 99357 | 99260 | 99159 | 83.2 | 3.3300 | BTC LONG in profit +$36. RSI at 83 is overbought and price touching upper BB (99427). ATR very low at 0.017% suggesting compressed range. Holding existing position but cautious - momentum still positive with MACD hist positive but extended. Will let TP/SL manage. |
| 01/15, 18:00 | SOL | HOLD | 45% | 5.0x | 198 | 198 | 198 | 15.3 | -0.0732 | RSI14 at 15.27 is the most oversold of all three - extreme reading. Price 197.67 almost exactly at lower BB 197.62. Strong mean reversion setup. ATR very low at 0.039% suggesting compressed range before a move. Holding for bounce toward 198.3+ mid BB. |
| 01/15, 18:00 | ETH | HOLD | 45% | 5.0x | 3328 | 3338 | 3343 | 20.7 | -1.6009 | RSI14 at 20.71 deeply oversold. Price near lower BB 3321. Expecting mean reversion bounce toward mid BB 3340. MACD bearish but oversold extremes suggest holding for recovery. PnL -25.76 is tolerable. |
| 01/15, 18:00 | BTC | HOLD | 45% | 5.0x | 98624 | 98865 | 99001 | 17.0 | -37.8418 | RSI14 at 17 is extremely oversold - potential bounce incoming. Price sitting right at lower BB (98540). Holding existing long for mean reversion back toward EMA20 ~98865. PnL manageable at -45. MACD histogram deeply negative but oversold conditions favor holding. |
| 01/15, 17:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 198 | 198 | 198 | 56.0 | -0.0019 | SOL price at 198.31, just above EMA20 (198.23) and EMA50 (197.86). RSI neutral at 56. MACD nearly flat - histogram essentially zero. BB mid at 198.22 provides support. Targeting BB upper at 198.95 and beyond. Moderate conviction trend continuation. |
| 01/15, 17:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 3340 | 3344 | 3346 | 33.3 | -0.4089 | ETH RSI at 33.27 - oversold territory near BB lower band (3337.27). Price near support. MACD histogram slightly negative but flattening. Mean reversion play back toward BB mid (3345) and beyond. Stop below BB lower with buffer. |
| 01/15, 17:00 | BTC | HOLD | 50% | 5.0x | 99074 | 99071 | 99144 | 48.6 | 10.3013 | BTC sitting right at EMA20 (99071), price barely above entry (99031). RSI neutral at 48.5, MACD histogram turning positive at 10.3. Tight BB squeeze (ATR 0.045%) suggests imminent breakout. Holding existing long, slight bullish lean from MACD crossover. |
| 01/15, 16:00 | SOL | HOLD | 40% | 5.0x | 197 | 197 | 197 | 35.0 | -0.1271 | SOL LONG has +$35 PnL. Price 196.63 below EMA20 197.11, RSI 34.96 oversold, MACD histogram turning negative. Price sitting right at lower BB 196.54. Oversold RSI could trigger a bounce but momentum is clearly bearish. Hold for now given proximity to lower BB support, but tighten mentally. |
| 01/15, 16:00 | ETH | HOLD | 55% | 5.0x | 3335 | 3339 | 3336 | 40.9 | -0.7286 | ETH SHORT at 3338.75 with +$11 PnL. Price 3334.91 near lower BB 3333.21. RSI 40.86 bearish, MACD histogram negative. Short is working well. Price approaching lower BB which could act as support - hold and let it ride but watch for bounce. |
| 01/15, 16:00 | BTC | HOLD | 45% | 5.0x | 99150 | 99298 | 99331 | 41.0 | -31.3696 | BTC LONG has +$13 PnL. Price at 99150, below EMA20/EMA50, RSI 40.95 bearish, MACD histogram negative and worsening. Near lower BB 99072. Momentum fading but still in profit - hold and watch for bounce off lower BB or close next cycle if breakdown continues. |
| 01/15, 15:00 | SOL | HOLD | 55% | 10.0x | 196 | 195 | 194 | 86.4 | 0.2128 | SOL LONG +19.39 PnL. RSI 86.4 very overbought, price 196.32 above BB upper 196.27. Extremely extended. However position is profitable. Hold but tighten mentally - considering close if momentum fades next cycle. |
| 01/15, 15:00 | ETH | SHORT | 55% | 8.0x | 3339 | 3309 | 3297 | 86.6 | 3.3262 | ETH RSI 86.6 extremely overbought, price 3338 well above BB upper 3330. Extension from EMA20 is 0.89%. MACD histogram positive but RSI screaming overbought. Mean reversion short targeting BB mid ~3305. Stop above recent highs. |
| 01/15, 15:00 | BTC | HOLD | 65% | 10.0x | 99619 | 99197 | 99012 | 72.2 | 39.9681 | BTC LONG profitable +65. Price above BB upper band at 99571, RSI 72 overbought but MACD histogram positive at 40. Trend intact with EMA20>EMA50. Hold but watch for reversal signals. Extension from EMA20 is 0.42%. |
| 01/15, 14:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 196 | 195 | 192 | 77.6 | -0.1608 | SOL near upper BB, RSI 77.6 overbought. EMA20>EMA50 strong uptrend. MACD histogram slightly negative showing momentum pause but overall trend intact. Stop below EMA50 for safety. |
| 01/15, 14:00 | ETH | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 3302 | 3277 | 3256 | 80.3 | 0.7075 | ETH above upper BB, RSI 80 very overbought. Strong uptrend EMA20>EMA50, MACD histogram positive. Price extended significantly - risk of pullback is high but momentum is strong. Tight position, wide stop below EMA50. |
| 01/15, 14:00 | BTC | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 99032 | 98722 | 98205 | 72.2 | -40.3109 | BTC price at upper BB, RSI 72 overbought but EMA20>EMA50 uptrend. MACD histogram negative suggesting momentum fading. Moderate size with wide stop. Trend following but cautious given overbought signals. |
| 01/15, 13:00 | SOL | LONG | 40% | 6.0x | 186 | 187 | 187 | 29.4 | -0.0252 | SOL RSI 29.42 oversold, price at lower BB 186.42 near support. MACD histogram slightly negative but tiny magnitude. Low ATR 0.009% suggests tight range - potential mean reversion bounce to mid-BB 186.55+. Conservative size given recent poor SOL win rate. |
| 01/15, 13:00 | ETH | HOLD | 50% | 8.0x | 3212 | 3206 | 3204 | 72.0 | 1.0696 | ETH LONG in profit +$29.54. RSI 72 approaching overbought, price near upper BB 3215.49. MACD histogram positive. However nearing resistance - hold but watch for reversal signals. Price extended from entry. |
| 01/15, 13:00 | BTC | HOLD | 55% | 8.0x | 96930 | 96875 | 96801 | 63.2 | -11.6693 | BTC LONG in profit +$14.55. Price above both EMAs, RSI 63 moderate bullish. MACD histogram slightly negative but line still positive. Holding position - trend intact above EMA20/50. |
| 01/15, 12:00 | SOL | CLOSE | 55% | 5.0x | 187 | 187 | 187 | 65.2 | 0.0002 | SOL position -24 PnL, entry 187.52 vs current 186.77. BB bands extremely compressed (upper=mid=lower=186.77) indicating near-zero volatility - unusual. RSI 65 neutral-bullish but MACD histogram flat at 0.0002. Price below entry by 0.4%. ATR only 0.01% suggesting no movement potential. Close to cut loss and redeploy capital more efficiently. |
| 01/15, 12:00 | ETH | HOLD | 40% | 5.0x | 3201 | 3207 | 3207 | 32.0 | -1.7508 | ETH long slightly profitable but RSI 31.97 is weak, MACD histogram -1.75 bearish, price near lower BB 3195.86. Mixed signals - entry was good at 3199 but momentum is bearish. Hold but cautious, price could bounce off lower BB support. |
| 01/15, 12:00 | BTC | HOLD | 50% | 5.0x | 96746 | 96667 | 96686 | 70.9 | 18.2759 | BTC long in profit, price near upper BB at 96800, RSI 70.9 overbought, MACD histogram strongly positive at 18.3. Momentum is bullish but extended. Hold existing position, watch for pullback from upper BB. |
| 01/15, 11:00 | SOL | LONG | 45% | 5.0x | 188 | 188 | 188 | 33.1 | -0.0351 | SOL RSI 33.14 near oversold, price near BB lower band 187.49. EMA20/EMA50 nearly flat suggesting range-bound. MACD hist slightly negative but small. ATR low at 0.014%. Betting on mean reversion bounce back toward BB mid/upper around 187.8-188. Stop placed ~1.7% below entry respecting liquidation guard at 0.85/5=17%. TP at 189.50 gives ~1.05% profit well above fee threshold. |
| 01/15, 11:00 | ETH | HOLD | 50% | 8.0x | 3212 | 3212 | 3212 | 49.0 | -0.0207 | ETH sitting right at EMA20/EMA50 convergence with RSI 49 neutral. MACD histogram slightly negative but near zero. ATR extremely low at 0.007% indicating compression. Existing long from 3199.35 has nice $28.93 profit. Very tight BBands suggest imminent breakout - holding position and letting compression resolve. |
| 01/15, 11:00 | BTC | HOLD | 45% | 8.0x | 96850 | 96979 | 96965 | 23.4 | -21.1069 | BTC RSI 23.44 deeply oversold, price below BB lower band and both EMAs. MACD histogram strongly negative at -21.1 suggesting bearish momentum still present. Holding existing long from 96742.62 with small profit of $8.33 - oversold bounce potential but momentum is against us. Will hold and let it play out rather than add risk. |
| 01/15, 10:00 | SOL | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 187 | 187 | 188 | 0.9 | 0.0039 | SOL RSI 0.87 absurdly oversold, price near lower BB 186.17, MACD hist crossing positive. Extreme oversold bounce expected targeting BB mid 187.12. Very low ATR suggests controlled risk. |
| 01/15, 10:00 | ETH | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 3199 | 3206 | 3216 | 9.3 | 0.0034 | ETH RSI 9.35 extremely oversold, price near lower BB 3190.8, MACD hist just crossed positive at 0.0034. Strong mean reversion setup targeting BB mid 3206. Tight stop below lower BB. |
| 01/15, 10:00 | BTC | LONG | 45% | 5.0x | 96743 | 96830 | 96950 | 29.2 | -1.3800 | BTC RSI 29.16 oversold, price at lower BB 96698, MACD hist turning slightly negative but price near support. Low ATR 0.023% suggests tight range. Modest long for mean reversion to BB mid ~96835. |
| 01/15, 09:00 | SOL | LONG | 50% | 4.0x | 190 | 190 | 190 | 32.3 | -0.0089 | SOL RSI at 32.34 near oversold, price just above BB lower 189.52. MACD histogram slightly negative but near zero cross. Targeting mid-BB 189.82 and above. Low ATR 0.018% suggests tight range - positioning for bounce toward EMA20/50. |
| 01/15, 09:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 3230 | 3235 | 3236 | 17.5 | -0.8823 | ETH RSI at 17.47 deeply oversold, price at lower BB 3226.8 - strong oversold bounce candidate. MACD histogram negative but line/signal spread narrowing. Mean reversion to mid-BB 3236 likely. Stop below BB lower with margin for ATR. |
| 01/15, 09:00 | BTC | HOLD | 45% | 5.0x | 97082 | 97108 | 97165 | 30.8 | 7.1456 | BTC RSI at 30.8 oversold, MACD histogram positive at 7.14 suggesting momentum recovery. Price near BB upper band in tight squeeze (ATR 0.009%). Holding existing long - expecting mean reversion bounce but tight range makes conviction moderate. |
| 01/15, 08:00 | SOL | LONG | 50% | 4.0x | 189 | 190 | 190 | 18.3 | -0.0517 | SOL RSI14 at 18.33 - deeply oversold. Price near lower BB 189.00. Mean reversion play back toward BB mid ~189.69. ATR very low at 0.021% indicating compression. Risk is tight. |
| 01/15, 08:00 | ETH | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 3233 | 3233 | 3234 | 45.8 | -0.3370 | ETH is directionless - price right at EMA20/EMA50 confluence, RSI 45.8 neutral, MACD histogram slightly negative, very tight BB range. No clear edge, skip. |
| 01/15, 08:00 | BTC | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 97264 | 97205 | 97206 | 56.0 | 13.6705 | BTC price above both EMAs, MACD histogram positive and rising, RSI neutral at 56. Price near BB mid, room to run to upper band ~97540. Moderate conviction trend-following long. |
| 01/15, 07:00 | SOL | SHORT | 45% | 4.0x | 190 | 189 | 189 | 83.6 | 0.0214 | SOL RSI 83.58 extremely overbought. Price 189.6 well above upper BB 189.37 - extended. MACD histogram positive but small 0.021 and declining from prior cycles. ATR very low 0.032%. Mean reversion play back toward BB mid 189.14. Stop above recent extension. Win rate has been poor - reducing size and confidence. |
| 01/15, 07:00 | ETH | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 3230 | 3226 | 3224 | 72.5 | 0.5183 | ETH price 3229.89 above EMA20 3226 and EMA50 3223.6. MACD histogram positive 0.52, bullish momentum. RSI 72.5 getting elevated but still viable. Price near upper BB 3235 - targeting breakout. Stop below lower BB. ATR very low 0.028% suggesting tight range - breakout potential. Correlated with BTC long thesis. |
| 01/15, 07:00 | BTC | HOLD | 55% | 5.0x | 97042 | 96982 | 96945 | 65.2 | 10.0870 | BTC LONG in profit +16.86. Price above EMA20/EMA50, MACD histogram positive at 10.09, RSI 65 not yet overbought. Price near upper BB 97191 - holding for continuation but watching for resistance. Trend aligned bullish. |
| 01/15, 06:00 | SOL | CLOSE | 40% | 1.0x | 190 | 189 | 189 | 81.5 | 0.0968 | SOL RSI 81.5 extremely overbought, price at upper BB 189.67. High risk of pullback. Closing existing long to protect capital - entered at 189.88, currently underwater. |
| 01/15, 06:00 | ETH | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 3225 | 3226 | 3226 | 45.1 | -0.3583 | ETH neutral - RSI 45, MACD slightly bearish, price near mid BB. No clear edge, staying flat. |
| 01/15, 06:00 | BTC | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 96825 | 96936 | 96940 | 33.5 | -15.6185 | BTC RSI 33.5 oversold, price at lower BB 96773, MACD hist negative but price near support. Mean reversion play toward EMA20 96935 and upper BB. |
| 01/15, 05:00 | SOL | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 190 | 190 | 189 | 69.4 | 0.0411 | SOL showing bullish structure: price above EMA20 and EMA50, RSI 69.4 strong but not yet overbought, MACD histogram positive. Price at BB upper band 189.90 - slight caution but momentum supports a long. ATR low at 0.042% suggesting tight range. Stop below EMA50, TP at ~0.4% extension. |
| 01/15, 05:00 | ETH | CLOSE | 55% | 5.0x | 3224 | 3225 | 3225 | 45.7 | -0.0268 | ETH long underwater at -34.50 PnL. Entry 3235, current 3223.84 - price below both EMAs, RSI 45.7 bearish, MACD histogram negative and declining. Weak structure, cutting loss to preserve capital. |
| 01/15, 05:00 | BTC | HOLD | 50% | 5.0x | 97248 | 97202 | 97180 | 56.7 | 0.9071 | BTC long open with small positive PnL. Price at 97248 above both EMAs, RSI neutral at 56.7, MACD histogram positive but weak. Price near BB upper (97330). Holding existing position - no strong signal to add or close yet. |
| 01/15, 04:00 | SOL | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 190 | 189 | 189 | 88.6 | 0.0543 | SOL RSI at 88.57 is extremely overbought, price well above BB upper band. While momentum is positive, the extreme RSI makes entry very risky. ATR is low so a sharp reversal could happen. Waiting for a pullback. |
| 01/15, 04:00 | ETH | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 3235 | 3225 | 3221 | 71.5 | 0.6463 | ETH breaking above BB upper band, EMA20 > EMA50 bullish crossover forming, MACD histogram positive and expanding. RSI 71.5 is overbought but momentum supports continuation. Price above both EMAs. |
| 01/15, 04:00 | BTC | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 97235 | 97018 | 96970 | 74.1 | 18.5527 | BTC above EMA20/EMA50, MACD histogram positive and rising, price breaking above BB upper band. RSI 74 is elevated but momentum is strong. Moderate size due to overbought risk. |
| 01/15, 03:00 | SOL | LONG | 58% | 5.0x | 188 | 188 | 188 | 65.4 | 0.0389 | SOL above both EMAs, RSI 65 bullish momentum, MACD histogram positive and expanding, price above BB mid. Targeting upper BB at 188.31+. Low ATR 0.024% means tight range but clear trend. |
| 01/15, 03:00 | ETH | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 3212 | 3213 | 3216 | 46.7 | 0.1936 | ETH near BB mid, MACD histogram just turned positive (0.19), RSI neutral at 46.7. Slight bullish momentum shift, tight range trade targeting upper BB. |
| 01/15, 03:00 | BTC | SHORT | 52% | 5.0x | 96779 | 96871 | 96933 | 42.6 | -10.8300 | BTC below both EMAs, RSI 42.6 bearish, MACD histogram negative and declining, price near lower BB. Targeting move toward 96530 support area. |
| 01/15, 02:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 188 | 188 | 188 | 56.2 | -0.0085 | SOL price above both EMAs, RSI neutral 56. EMA20>EMA50 with price near mid BB. MACD hist slightly negative but flat - expecting continuation. Tight range play. |
| 01/15, 02:00 | ETH | LONG | 45% | 4.0x | 3212 | 3227 | 3229 | 32.8 | -1.2313 | ETH oversold RSI 32.75, price at lower BB 3212.37 - potential mean reversion bounce toward mid BB 3229. MACD bearish so lower confidence. Contrarian bounce play. |
| 01/15, 02:00 | BTC | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 97250 | 97208 | 97111 | 57.2 | 4.4899 | BTC above both EMAs, MACD histogram positive, price near upper BB. Moderate bullish setup with EMA20>EMA50 crossover confirmed. RSI mid-range at 57. |
| 01/15, 01:00 | SOL | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 188 | 188 | 188 | 59.9 | 0.0425 | SOL price above EMA20/50, MACD crossed bullish with positive histogram, RSI 59.9 moderate. Price near upper BB 187.80. Low ATR 0.024% means tight range - targeting BB upper breakout. Good recent win rate on SOL trades. |
| 01/15, 01:00 | ETH | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 3218 | 3225 | 3227 | 34.8 | -0.3688 | ETH weak - price at lower BB, RSI 34.8 near oversold, MACD histogram negative and declining. Bearish momentum but near support. Wait for clearer signal - could bounce or break down. |
| 01/15, 01:00 | BTC | LONG | 62% | 5.0x | 96969 | 96856 | 96831 | 63.8 | 31.2671 | BTC price at upper BB, EMA20/50 bullish crossover, MACD histogram strongly positive at 31.27, RSI 63.8 not yet overbought. Momentum favors continuation. Stop below BB lower/EMA cluster. |
| 01/15, 24:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 188 | 188 | 188 | 26.9 | -0.0207 | SOL RSI 26.88 oversold, price at lower BB 187.60. Was overbought (RSI 95) two cycles ago then crashed - now oversold bounce setup. Target BB upper 188.14. MACD slightly bearish but momentum exhausting. |
| 01/15, 24:00 | ETH | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 3223 | 3228 | 3229 | 16.9 | -0.6414 | ETH RSI at 16.86 - extremely oversold. Price sitting right at lower BB 3223.74. MACD bearish but extreme oversold RSI suggests mean reversion bounce toward BB mid 3228. Entry near support. Stop below recent structure. |
| 01/15, 24:00 | BTC | HOLD | 50% | 5.0x | 96648 | 96646 | 96654 | 49.0 | -14.8662 | BTC LONG open with small PnL +18. Price at EMA20/EMA50 convergence, RSI neutral 49. MACD histogram bearish but price holding. Tight BB squeeze (0.025% ATR). Hold and let it play out. |
| 01/14, 23:00 | SOL | SHORT | 50% | 6.0x | 189 | 188 | 188 | 95.8 | 0.0209 | SOL RSI at 95.77 - extremely overbought. Price at upper BB 188.92. MACD hist barely positive 0.02, momentum fading. Mean reversion short targeting BB lower ~187.87. Stop at 191.50 (1.4% above entry, within liquidation guard of 14.2%). |
| 01/14, 23:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 8.0x | 3237 | 3233 | 3229 | 78.2 | 0.5267 | ETH showing bullish momentum: price above EMA20/50, MACD hist positive 0.53, RSI 78 is overbought but momentum strong. Price near upper BB 3238 - breakout potential. TP at 3247 (~0.32% from entry). Stop at 3225 below BB mid (~0.36%). |
| 01/14, 23:00 | BTC | HOLD | 45% | 10.0x | 96576 | 96658 | 96611 | 41.9 | -1.2471 | BTC long open with small PnL. Price at 96575, near EMA20/50 cluster. RSI 41.85 slightly bearish, MACD hist slightly negative. Narrow range (ATR 0.04%). Hold position - no strong reason to exit yet, price hovering near entry. |
| 01/14, 22:00 | SOL | LONG | 45% | 4.0x | 187 | 187 | 187 | 47.2 | 0.0336 | SOL price at EMA20, MACD histogram turning positive, RSI neutral 47. Price near BB upper. Slight bullish momentum shift. Small position given tight range and low ATR. |
| 01/14, 22:00 | ETH | LONG | 45% | 4.0x | 3214 | 3217 | 3220 | 23.8 | 0.0552 | ETH RSI deeply oversold at 23.8, price near BB lower band 3210.8. MACD histogram just turned positive - potential mean reversion bounce to BB mid ~3217. Oversold bounce setup but weak trend. |
| 01/14, 22:00 | BTC | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 96490 | 96410 | 96447 | 58.0 | 12.4278 | BTC above both EMAs, MACD histogram positive and rising, RSI 58 mid-range with room to run. Price near BB upper but MACD crossover is bullish. Moderate position. |
| 01/14, 21:00 | SOL | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 187 | 187 | 187 | 67.4 | 0.0078 | SOL mildly bullish - price above both EMAs, MACD just crossed positive, RSI 67 not yet overbought. Price near upper BB so limited upside but trend supportive. Small position. |
| 01/14, 21:00 | ETH | SHORT | 55% | 5.0x | 3224 | 3218 | 3217 | 80.8 | 0.6665 | ETH RSI 80.83 extremely overbought, price well above upper BB (3221.89). Mean reversion expected back toward BB mid 3217.6. MACD positive but RSI overextended signals pullback. |
| 01/14, 21:00 | BTC | CLOSE | 55% | 1.0x | 96471 | 96549 | 96592 | 38.0 | -11.9359 | BTC RSI 37.99 bearish, price below both EMAs, MACD histogram negative and deepening. Position underwater with -61.98 PnL. Close to cut losses before further decline. |
| 01/14, 20:00 | SOL | LONG | 50% | 8.0x | 187 | 187 | 187 | 46.3 | -0.0366 | SOL in extremely tight range, ATR only 0.028%. Price 187.09 near lower BB 186.98, just above EMA50 187.03. RSI 46 neutral-low. MACD slightly negative but minimal. Playing for a move to upper BB 187.52. Very low vol environment - tight stop below BB lower. |
| 01/14, 20:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 8.0x | 3224 | 3225 | 3224 | 47.2 | -0.8740 | ETH near lower BB 3221.82, price close to EMA50 3223.54. RSI 47 neutral, MACD slightly negative. Tight range with low ATR 0.058%. Playing a mean reversion bounce toward upper BB 3232.70. Stop below lower BB. |
| 01/14, 20:00 | BTC | HOLD | 40% | 10.0x | 96597 | 96747 | 96776 | 31.3 | -27.8159 | BTC LONG open at 96743.8, currently at 96596.73 with PnL -33.44. RSI 31.27 oversold, price near lower BB 96546.67. MACD histogram negative and worsening. Price below both EMAs. Holding - oversold conditions may trigger a bounce back toward mid-BB 96791 but momentum is weak. Keeping existing position. |
| 01/14, 19:00 | SOL | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 187 | 187 | 187 | 39.8 | -0.0052 | SOL extremely tight range with ATR only 0.013%. BB width tiny - nearly impossible to capture meaningful move net of fees. RSI 39.8 slightly bearish. Waiting for expansion/volatility breakout before entering. |
| 01/14, 19:00 | ETH | LONG | 50% | 10.0x | 3220 | 3226 | 3221 | 43.1 | -0.3805 | ETH near lower BB 3219.6, RSI 43 mildly oversold, EMA20 roughly equal EMA50 suggesting consolidation. Price at BB lower band support zone. Targeting upper BB ~3232. MACD slightly negative so moderate conviction. |
| 01/14, 19:00 | BTC | LONG | 55% | 10.0x | 96744 | 96761 | 96607 | 51.2 | -7.1710 | BTC price at EMA20/EMA50, RSI neutral 51, MACD hist slightly negative but trend structure bullish with EMA20 > EMA50. Price near BB mid, tight range. Expecting continuation toward upper BB. Moderate confidence given slightly negative MACD histogram. |
| 01/14, 18:00 | SOL | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 187 | 187 | 187 | 41.4 | 0.0356 | SOL extremely tight range with ATR only 0.019%. RSI 41 neutral-weak, price essentially flat at BB mid. Spread/fees would eat any move in this low-vol environment. Waiting for breakout. |
| 01/14, 18:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 3208 | 3206 | 3202 | 62.0 | -0.2749 | ETH above both EMAs, RSI 62 moderate bullish. MACD histogram slightly negative but line still positive. Price near upper BB - cautious size. Tight range environment. |
| 01/14, 18:00 | BTC | LONG | 62% | 5.0x | 96315 | 96141 | 96020 | 69.0 | 12.1891 | BTC price at upper BB, EMA20>EMA50 with positive MACD histogram. Momentum bullish but RSI approaching overbought at 69. Moderate size given elevated RSI risk. |
| 01/14, 17:00 | SOL | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 187 | 186 | 187 | 54.5 | 0.0293 | SOL at EMA20/EMA50 confluence, MACD just crossed bullish. RSI 54 neutral. Very tight ATR (0.021%) suggests compression before move. Targeting BB upper. |
| 01/14, 17:00 | ETH | HOLD | 55% | 5.0x | 3194 | 3192 | 3192 | 58.5 | 0.6724 | Existing LONG with small unrealized loss. MACD histogram positive and expanding, RSI 58 with room. Price above EMA20 and near BB upper. Holding for continuation. |
| 01/14, 17:00 | BTC | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 95759 | 95749 | 95870 | 49.2 | 23.5522 | BTC at EMA20, MACD histogram turning positive with bullish crossover. RSI neutral at 49. Price near BB mid, room to upper band. Moderate conviction entry. |
| 01/14, 16:00 | SOL | LONG | 68% | 10.0x | 187 | 188 | 188 | 15.7 | -0.0860 | RSI 15.7 deeply oversold - strongest oversold signal across all three. Price below BB lower 186.97. Expecting snap-back toward BB mid 187.68. Strong mean reversion setup. |
| 01/14, 16:00 | ETH | LONG | 62% | 10.0x | 3195 | 3204 | 3205 | 28.5 | -0.8390 | RSI 28.5 oversold, price at BB lower 3198, targeting mean reversion to BB mid 3205. MACD hist negative but EMA20/50 converged suggesting range-bound. Tight setup. |
| 01/14, 16:00 | BTC | LONG | 65% | 10.0x | 96378 | 96617 | 96593 | 28.5 | -19.7643 | RSI 28.5 oversold, price near BB lower band 96477, MACD hist improving from -48 to -19. Expecting mean reversion bounce toward EMA20/BB mid ~96616. ATR low at 0.044%. |
| 01/14, 15:00 | SOL | LONG | 45% | 4.0x | 187 | 188 | 188 | 26.9 | -0.0786 | SOL RSI 26.92 oversold, price 187.12 near lower BB 186.36. Mean reversion toward BB mid 187.95. All three assets oversold simultaneously suggesting broad market dip - coordinated bounce likely. |
| 01/14, 15:00 | ETH | LONG | 45% | 4.0x | 3191 | 3202 | 3207 | 28.0 | -1.4657 | ETH RSI 27.97 deeply oversold, price 3191 near lower BB 3182. Mean reversion toward BB mid 3204. Stop below lower BB. Conservative TP at mid-band. |
| 01/14, 15:00 | BTC | LONG | 45% | 4.0x | 96285 | 96540 | 96587 | 32.7 | -48.4777 | BTC RSI 32.67 oversold, price near lower BB 96158. MACD histogram deeply negative but price holding support around 96284. Mean reversion play toward BB mid 96610. Tight stop below BB lower band. |
| 01/14, 14:00 | SOL | LONG | 42% | 3.0x | 188 | 188 | 187 | 62.3 | -0.0587 | SOL RSI 62 mildly bullish, price above both EMAs, MACD line positive though histogram slightly negative. Price near mid-BB with room to upper band at 188.6. Moderate long with tight stop below lower BB. |
| 01/14, 14:00 | ETH | LONG | 40% | 3.0x | 3209 | 3210 | 3204 | 50.3 | -1.5494 | ETH RSI 50 neutral, price near lower BB 3203.3, EMA20/50 tight spread with price between them. MACD line positive but histogram slightly negative. Small mean-reversion long targeting mid-BB/upper BB. Tight setup with reduced size given poor recent performance. |
| 01/14, 14:00 | BTC | HOLD | 20% | 1.0x | 96259 | 96441 | 96391 | 37.8 | -44.5409 | BTC RSI 37.77 near oversold, MACD histogram deeply negative at -44.5, price at lower BB. Bearish momentum but near support. Mixed signals - staying flat until clearer direction. Recent losses demand caution. |
| 01/14, 13:00 | SOL | LONG | 40% | 3.0x | 186 | 187 | 187 | 18.6 | -0.1071 | SOL RSI 18.55 extremely oversold, price at lower BB 186.17. Mean reversion bounce toward BB mid 186.76. Small size given recent stop-loss streak. TP ~0.37% from entry. |
| 01/14, 13:00 | ETH | LONG | 40% | 3.0x | 3188 | 3191 | 3195 | 19.9 | -0.2710 | ETH RSI 19.94 deeply oversold, price sitting exactly on lower BB 3187.72. Mean reversion setup toward BB mid 3191. Small size due to losing streak and bearish MACD. TP ~0.32% from entry. |
| 01/14, 13:00 | BTC | HOLD | 20% | 1.0x | 95988 | 96106 | 96188 | 33.3 | -7.5560 | BTC RSI 33 near lower BB, MACD histogram negative and widening. Bearish momentum but approaching oversold. Recent losing streak - staying flat until clearer signal. |
| 01/14, 12:00 | SOL | LONG | 38% | 3.0x | 187 | 187 | 187 | 53.9 | 0.0773 | SOL price above both EMAs slightly, MACD histogram positive and improving, RSI neutral at 54. Price near upper BB - moderate setup. Small size due to recent stop losses. |
| 01/14, 12:00 | ETH | LONG | 40% | 3.0x | 3216 | 3218 | 3223 | 32.4 | 0.6259 | ETH RSI 32 oversold, MACD histogram turning positive (0.63), price near lower BB. Price below both EMAs suggesting weakness but MACD crossover forming. Small position given recent losing streak. |
| 01/14, 12:00 | BTC | HOLD | 20% | 1.0x | 96570 | 96513 | 96516 | 56.6 | -5.2430 | BTC near EMAs with negative MACD histogram, price at upper BB. Recent 5 trades all stopped out - reducing activity. No clear edge. |
| 01/14, 11:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 8.0x | 188 | 188 | 188 | 9.8 | -0.0132 | SOL RSI at 9.79 - extremely oversold. Price 187.76 near BB lower 187.72. ATR compressed at 0.011%. Extreme oversold reading suggests strong mean reversion probability toward BB mid 187.94+. TP ~0.29% from entry covers fees. Tight stop below BB lower. |
| 01/14, 11:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 8.0x | 3235 | 3237 | 3238 | 20.8 | -0.3626 | ETH RSI at 20.75 - deeply oversold. Price 3235.06 touching BB lower band 3234.26. Extreme oversold on RSI suggests mean reversion bounce toward BB mid ~3237.6. ATR very low at 0.01% indicating compressed volatility - potential snapback. TP at ~0.28% from entry covers fees. |
| 01/14, 11:00 | BTC | HOLD | 35% | 10.0x | 96599 | 96658 | 96668 | 38.8 | -8.3225 | BTC long underwater at -49.55. Price at 96599 vs entry 97036. RSI 38.8 bearish, MACD histogram negative and worsening. Price below both EMAs. However, close to BB lower band (96558) which may provide support. Holding for now but weak setup - will close if further deterioration. |
| 01/14, 10:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 190 | 190 | 189 | 73.9 | -0.0676 | SOL price near BB upper 190.11, RSI 73.86 overbought but strong uptrend with EMA20>EMA50. MACD hist slightly negative showing momentum waning. Tight stop below EMA20. Lower confidence due to overbought RSI. |
| 01/14, 10:00 | ETH | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 3252 | 3249 | 3234 | 69.3 | -1.2548 | ETH price at upper BB 3255, EMA20>EMA50 bullish trend. RSI 69 approaching overbought but momentum still present. Price above both EMAs. TP at ~0.36% from entry, clear breakout potential above BB upper. |
| 01/14, 10:00 | BTC | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 97036 | 96956 | 96526 | 58.9 | -21.9206 | BTC above EMA20/EMA50, price near BB mid with room to upper band at 97460. MACD hist negative but trend structure bullish with EMA20>EMA50. RSI 59 neutral. ATR 0.15% gives decent range. Moderate position. |
| 01/14, 09:00 | SOL | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 187 | 187 | 187 | 61.1 | -0.0103 | SOL mild bullish - price above both EMAs, RSI 61 healthy, MACD histogram slightly negative but line still positive. Price near BB mid. Targeting upper BB range. Tight stop below BB lower. |
| 01/14, 09:00 | ETH | LONG | 65% | 5.0x | 3187 | 3184 | 3182 | 76.4 | 0.4245 | ETH showing strength - RSI 76 elevated but MACD histogram positive and expanding (0.42), price above both EMAs, near BB upper band at 3191.77. Tight setup for continuation to upper band and beyond. Stop below BB lower. |
| 01/14, 09:00 | BTC | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 95504 | 95539 | 95424 | 49.2 | -20.1495 | BTC neutral - price below EMA20, MACD histogram negative (-20.15), RSI neutral at 49.23. Price sitting near BB lower band. No clear edge, waiting for direction. |
| 01/14, 08:00 | SOL | HOLD | 45% | 5.0x | 186 | 186 | 186 | 47.1 | 0.0203 | SOL near lower BB 185.55, RSI 47 neutral, MACD histogram slightly positive. Holding existing long from 186.16 - slightly underwater. Low ATR environment, expecting consolidation and potential move back toward 185.8-186.0 range. |
| 01/14, 08:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 3173 | 3177 | 3179 | 3.8 | -0.2303 | ETH RSI at extreme 3.76 - deeply oversold. Price at lower BB 3173.8, MACD histogram slightly negative but line near signal. Expecting bounce toward BB mid ~3176.5 and beyond. Very low ATR 0.011% suggests tight range - mean reversion likely. |
| 01/14, 08:00 | BTC | HOLD | 45% | 5.0x | 94813 | 94825 | 94872 | 36.6 | 6.6986 | BTC at lower BB, RSI 36 oversold-ish, MACD histogram positive and rising. Holding existing long, expecting mean reversion back toward EMA20/50 ~94850-94870. Entry at 94940 is slightly underwater but MACD momentum shifting bullish. |
| 01/14, 07:00 | SOL | LONG | 62% | 5.0x | 186 | 186 | 186 | 45.8 | -0.0272 | SOL near lower BB 185.73, RSI 45.8 neutral with room to bounce. Price close to both EMAs showing consolidation. MACD histogram slightly negative but flattening. ATR very low 0.018% suggesting tight range - good for mean reversion to mid BB 186.28+. TP at 0.32% from entry exceeds fee threshold. |
| 01/14, 07:00 | ETH | HOLD | 55% | 5.0x | 3178 | 3180 | 3177 | 43.0 | -0.7523 | ETH long in profit +9.78. RSI 43 neutral, MACD histogram negative -0.75 showing weakening momentum. Price near middle BB. Holding but momentum is fading - watch for exit signal. |
| 01/14, 07:00 | BTC | HOLD | 65% | 5.0x | 95000 | 94927 | 94927 | 69.2 | 6.8615 | BTC long in profit. Price at upper BB (95002), RSI 69 approaching overbought, MACD histogram positive at 6.86. Price above both EMAs. Holding existing position but monitoring for overbought reversal. |
| 01/14, 06:00 | SOL | LONG | 68% | 5.0x | 185 | 185 | 185 | 21.3 | 0.0260 | SOL RSI 21.26 deeply oversold, price near lower BB 184.50, MACD hist turning positive. Tight ATR 0.017% suggests low vol environment good for mean reversion. Targeting BB upper area. |
| 01/14, 06:00 | ETH | HOLD | 50% | 5.0x | 3162 | 3164 | 3167 | 7.3 | 0.0245 | Existing LONG at 3175, currently underwater -35.86. RSI extremely oversold at 7.32, MACD hist just turned positive 0.0245. Price near lower BB. Hold for mean reversion bounce but position is stressed. |
| 01/14, 06:00 | BTC | LONG | 65% | 5.0x | 94940 | 95043 | 95096 | 28.4 | -4.6648 | BTC RSI 28.42 oversold, price at lower BB 94864, MACD hist negative but flattening. Expecting mean reversion bounce toward BB mid 95052+. ATR tight at 0.024%. |
| 01/14, 05:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 186 | 185 | 185 | 91.2 | 0.0511 | SOL very strong momentum: RSI 91.18 extremely overbought, price near upper BB. Momentum is clear but RSI is dangerously high - reduced confidence. MACD positive. Tight stop below lower BB. |
| 01/14, 05:00 | ETH | LONG | 70% | 5.0x | 3175 | 3171 | 3169 | 73.9 | 0.4816 | ETH bullish: price above EMA20/EMA50, MACD histogram positive, RSI 73.86 is elevated but momentum strong. Price at upper BB 3177, targeting extension. TP 0.31% from entry covers fees. |
| 01/14, 05:00 | BTC | CLOSE | 70% | 1.0x | 95091 | 95019 | 94994 | 67.8 | 16.8761 | BTC showing strong bullish momentum: price above both EMAs, RSI 67.76, MACD histogram strongly positive at 16.88, price near upper BB. Short position is fighting the trend - close and reverse. |
| 01/14, 04:00 | SOL | LONG | 60% | 8.0x | 184 | 184 | 184 | 46.3 | -0.0154 | SOL price 184.23 near BB mid 184.27 and both EMAs. RSI 46.29 slightly below neutral. MACD histogram slightly negative but near zero - potential crossover. ATR very low (0.014%) suggesting tight consolidation. Targeting upper BB area at 184.70 (~0.26% from entry). Stop at 183.50 (~0.40%). |
| 01/14, 04:00 | ETH | LONG | 72% | 8.0x | 3160 | 3165 | 3166 | 13.3 | -0.5147 | ETH RSI14 at 13.29 - extremely oversold. Price 3160.1 near lower BB 3161.69, below both EMAs. MACD histogram negative but price is deeply oversold. Expecting mean reversion bounce toward BB mid 3166. TP at 3170 (~0.31% from entry). Stop at 3148 (~0.38% below, within liquidation guard of 0.85/8=10.6%). |
| 01/14, 04:00 | BTC | HOLD | 50% | 10.0x | 94963 | 94955 | 94960 | 52.3 | 4.7579 | BTC price at entry 94962.21, currently 94962.91 - essentially flat. MACD histogram turned positive (4.76) suggesting bullish momentum shift. RSI neutral at 52.3. Price near upper BB. Short position is slightly underwater. Considering closing but will hold briefly - very tight range, ATR only 0.014%. |
| 01/14, 03:00 | SOL | HOLD | 55% | 5.0x | 184 | 184 | 183 | 57.1 | -0.0062 | Existing LONG at 183.22 with +$20 unrealized PnL. Price above EMAs, RSI 57 neutral-bullish. MACD slightly negative but flat. Holding for further upside near upper BB 183.77. |
| 01/14, 03:00 | ETH | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 3159 | 3157 | 3156 | 61.0 | 0.2643 | Price above EMA20/EMA50, RSI 61 bullish momentum, MACD histogram positive and crossing up. Price near upper BB, riding momentum. Strong recent ETH performance. |
| 01/14, 03:00 | BTC | SHORT | 55% | 5.0x | 94962 | 94979 | 94972 | 44.9 | -2.1532 | Price below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI 44.85 bearish, MACD histogram negative and declining. Price near BB mid, targeting move toward lower BB. Low ATR suggests tight range but bearish lean. |
| 01/14, 02:00 | SOL | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 183 | 183 | 183 | 59.1 | 0.0379 | SOL price above BB upper 183.15, EMA20 > EMA50 crossover forming, MACD histogram positive and rising. RSI 59 healthy momentum. Breakout above BB band with trend alignment. Stop below recent support at BB lower area. |
| 01/14, 02:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 3138 | 3141 | 3143 | 28.7 | 0.1670 | ETH RSI 28.73 deeply oversold while price near BB lower band 3137.7. MACD histogram turning positive. Mean reversion bounce expected. Price slightly below EMA20/50 suggesting potential snap back. Low ATR 0.024% means tight range - sizing accordingly. |
| 01/14, 02:00 | BTC | LONG | 65% | 5.0x | 94841 | 94658 | 94688 | 59.8 | 1.9019 | BTC at upper BB 94860, price above both EMAs, MACD histogram positive and crossing signal. EMA20>EMA50 bullish alignment. RSI 59.8 moderate. Trend continuation play with tight stop below BB lower. |
| 01/14, 01:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 182 | 182 | 182 | 33.5 | 0.0023 | SOL RSI at 33.53 - oversold territory. Price at lower BB 182.26 near support. MACD histogram just crossed positive (0.0023). ATR extremely low at 0.008% suggesting compression before move. EMA20/EMA50 nearly flat. Mean reversion play back toward mid-BB/EMA50 at 182.42+. Tight stop below recent lows. |
| 01/14, 01:00 | ETH | HOLD | 50% | 1.0x | 3136 | 3135 | 3134 | 58.2 | 0.3097 | Holding existing LONG. Price at 3136.16 vs entry 3137.86, small unrealized loss. MACD histogram positive at 0.31, RSI 58 mildly bullish. Price near upper BB at 3137.6 - could push through. EMA20 > EMA50 marginally. Keeping position with existing parameters. |
| 01/14, 01:00 | BTC | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 94500 | 94495 | 94520 | 49.4 | 5.2203 | BTC consolidating tightly around EMA20/EMA50 with RSI at 49.41 - neutral. MACD histogram slightly positive but line still negative. Price sitting right at mid-BB. No clear edge, waiting for breakout direction. ATR very low at 0.061%. |
| 01/14, 24:00 | SOL | HOLD | 35% | 5.0x | 183 | 183 | 183 | 47.6 | -0.0249 | SOL is flat - price near EMA20/EMA50, RSI neutral at 47.62, MACD histogram slightly negative. No clear directional edge. ATR very low at 0.032%. Waiting for a clearer setup before entering. |
| 01/14, 24:00 | ETH | LONG | 60% | 8.0x | 3138 | 3133 | 3133 | 76.7 | 0.4285 | ETH price at 3137.86 above upper BB 3135.41, RSI 76.71 is overbought which is a risk but MACD histogram just turned positive. Strong momentum with price above both EMAs. Tight setup with moderate size. TP 0.32% from entry covers fees. Stop at 0.43% below, well within liquidation guard (0.85/8=10.6%). |
| 01/14, 24:00 | BTC | HOLD | 65% | 10.0x | 94597 | 94441 | 94407 | 68.0 | 11.2039 | BTC LONG open with +$14 PnL. Price above both EMAs, MACD histogram positive, RSI 67.95 approaching overbought but not there yet. Price above upper BB indicating strong momentum. Holding for more upside. |
| 01/13, 23:00 | SOL | LONG | 58% | 5.0x | 183 | 183 | 183 | 55.0 | 0.0429 | SOL above both EMAs, MACD histogram turning positive. RSI 55 neutral-bullish. Price near upper BB, moderate setup. TP ~0.27% above entry. |
| 01/13, 23:00 | ETH | LONG | 60% | 5.0x | 3130 | 3128 | 3127 | 56.0 | 0.2454 | ETH price at upper BB, MACD histogram turning positive. EMA20>EMA50, RSI neutral at 56. Modest bullish setup, tight range. TP 0.33% from entry covers fees. |
| 01/13, 23:00 | BTC | LONG | 65% | 5.0x | 94474 | 94382 | 94351 | 60.2 | 25.2031 | BTC above both EMAs, MACD histogram strongly positive at 25.2, RSI 60 not overbought. Price near upper BB but momentum supports continuation. Trend strength mild but bullish. |
| 01/13, 22:00 | SOL | HOLD | 50% | 10.0x | 182 | 182 | 181 | 52.4 | -0.0216 | SOL LONG slightly underwater -5.94. Price 181.55 near EMA20 181.53 and BB mid 181.63. RSI 52.4 neutral. MACD histogram slightly negative (-0.02) but very small. ATR very low at 0.05% suggesting consolidation. Weak setup but no reason to close at small loss - hold for potential breakout. |
| 01/13, 22:00 | ETH | HOLD | 68% | 10.0x | 3117 | 3112 | 3106 | 62.7 | 0.1148 | ETH LONG profitable +62.33. Price 3116.55 just above upper BB 3116.42 - slight extension but MACD histogram just turned positive (0.11), EMA20>EMA50 bullish alignment. RSI 62.7 healthy. Hold position, momentum still constructive. |
| 01/13, 22:00 | BTC | HOLD | 65% | 10.0x | 94363 | 94180 | 93963 | 65.7 | -17.8112 | BTC LONG profitable +61.75. Price at 94363 near upper BB 94429. RSI 65.7 moderately bullish. MACD histogram turning negative (-17.8) suggests momentum fading but EMA20>EMA50 trend intact. Hold with existing position, watching for signs of exhaustion near BB upper. |
| 01/13, 21:00 | SOL | LONG | 58% | 5.0x | 182 | 181 | 180 | 71.7 | -0.1071 | SOL trending up: EMA20>EMA50, price above both. RSI 71.7 approaching overbought. MACD hist slightly negative showing fading momentum. Price near BB upper. Moderate conviction long riding the trend but cautious on size. |
| 01/13, 21:00 | ETH | LONG | 65% | 5.0x | 3099 | 3087 | 3065 | 62.9 | -0.3486 | ETH bullish structure: EMA20>EMA50, RSI 63 not yet overbought, price above BB mid. MACD hist slightly negative but line still above signal. Good risk/reward to BB upper and beyond. ATR elevated at 0.3% providing movement. |
| 01/13, 21:00 | BTC | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 93720 | 93348 | 92872 | 87.2 | 9.5364 | BTC strong momentum: EMA20>EMA50, MACD hist positive, but RSI 87 is extremely overbought. Price near BB upper. Reduced size due to overextension risk. Trend is clearly bullish but expecting potential pullback. |
| 01/13, 20:00 | SOL | LONG | 52% | 5.0x | 178 | 178 | 177 | 54.0 | -0.0672 | SOL price above EMA20 and EMA50, RSI 53.96 neutral-bullish. BB squeeze with low ATR 0.079%. Price near mid-band, targeting upper BB at 178.78. EMAs aligned bullish with EMA20 > EMA50. |
| 01/13, 20:00 | ETH | LONG | 50% | 5.0x | 3029 | 3027 | 3023 | 55.1 | -0.8722 | ETH price near BB mid, above both EMAs. RSI 55 mildly bullish. MACD histogram negative but weakening. ATR 0.115% gives decent movement potential. Targeting upper BB at 3043. |
| 01/13, 20:00 | BTC | LONG | 52% | 5.0x | 92211 | 92199 | 92137 | 51.9 | -6.0595 | BTC price at EMA20/EMA50, narrow BB squeeze with low ATR 0.068%. Price above both EMAs suggesting mild bullish bias. RSI neutral at 51.88. MACD histogram slightly negative but line still positive. Tight range play expecting move to upper BB. |
| 01/13, 19:00 | SOL | LONG | 58% | 5.0x | 176 | 176 | 176 | 56.1 | 0.0541 | SOL price above both EMAs, MACD hist positive, RSI 56 neutral-bullish. Price near mid-BB with room to upper BB at 177.0. Low ATR consolidation with slight bullish bias. TP near upper BB. |
| 01/13, 19:00 | ETH | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 3007 | 3012 | 3013 | 32.0 | -1.0042 | ETH RSI at 31.96 oversold, price touching lower BB at 3007.6. MACD hist negative but very low ATR (0.038%) suggests tight range. Mean reversion play back toward mid-BB ~3014.8. Entry near support. Stop below lower BB with room. |
| 01/13, 19:00 | BTC | HOLD | 55% | 5.0x | 92012 | 92004 | 91955 | 51.7 | 1.7262 | BTC sitting right at EMA20/EMA50, MACD hist slightly positive, RSI neutral at 51.7. Holding existing long position with small unrealized profit. Price near mid-BB, low ATR suggests consolidation. |
| 01/13, 18:00 | SOL | LONG | 48% | 5.0x | 176 | 177 | 177 | 34.1 | -0.0725 | SOL RSI 34 near oversold, price near lower BB 175.5. MACD histogram slightly negative but flattening. Mean reversion play toward BB mid at 176.57. Tight stop below BB lower. |
| 01/13, 18:00 | ETH | HOLD | 45% | 5.0x | 3019 | 3018 | 3021 | 50.7 | 0.6770 | Existing LONG with slight profit. MACD histogram turning positive, price near EMA20/50 convergence. RSI neutral at 50.66. Hold and let it develop. |
| 01/13, 18:00 | BTC | LONG | 55% | 5.0x | 91964 | 91834 | 91833 | 60.5 | 23.9414 | BTC price at upper BB, EMA20 cross above EMA50, MACD histogram positive and rising, RSI 60 with room to run. Momentum favors continuation upward. |
| 01/13, 17:00 | SOL | LONG | 55% | 4.0x | 177 | 178 | 178 | 27.8 | -0.0898 | SOL RSI 27.77 most oversold of all three, price just above lower BB 176.37. Strong mean reversion setup targeting BB mid 177.82. MACD histogram slightly negative but flattening. |
| 01/13, 17:00 | ETH | LONG | 45% | 3.0x | 3018 | 3025 | 3034 | 39.0 | -0.5617 | ETH RSI 39, price near lower BB 3009.78. Weaker oversold signal than BTC/SOL. Modest long targeting BB mid 3026. MACD still negative, lower conviction. |
| 01/13, 17:00 | BTC | LONG | 52% | 4.0x | 91350 | 91659 | 91795 | 28.8 | -56.6578 | BTC RSI 28.75 deeply oversold, price near lower BB 91274. MACD histogram deeply negative but price at support zone. Mean reversion play toward BB mid ~91750. Stop below lower BB. |
| 01/13, 16:00 | SOL | LONG | 40% | 4.0x | 178 | 179 | 179 | 37.6 | -0.1755 | SOL near lower BB 178.34, RSI 37.6 approaching oversold. Below both EMAs suggesting weakness but price at band support. MACD histogram negative but shallow. Targeting mid-BB 179.48 for mean reversion. Lower confidence due to bearish structure. |
| 01/13, 16:00 | ETH | LONG | 50% | 4.0x | 3067 | 3062 | 3061 | 59.5 | -0.5540 | ETH price above both EMAs, RSI 59.5 showing moderate bullish momentum. Price above mid-BB and approaching upper BB 3076. MACD histogram slightly negative but line still near signal - minor pullback within uptrend. Targeting upper BB. |
| 01/13, 16:00 | BTC | LONG | 45% | 5.0x | 92037 | 92337 | 92273 | 31.3 | -53.7911 | BTC at lower BB (92039), RSI oversold at 31.33, price sitting right on BB lower band support. MACD histogram deeply negative suggesting potential mean reversion bounce. EMA20/50 still above price providing upside targets. Tight setup for bounce to mid-BB ~92431. |
| 01/13, 15:00 | SOL | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 176 | 175 | 175 | 53.8 | -0.0089 | SOL is flat - MACD histogram barely negative, RSI neutral at 53.8, price near middle of BB range. No clear directional edge. Sitting out given 30% overall win rate and choppy SOL action. |
| 01/13, 15:00 | ETH | LONG | 42% | 3.0x | 3042 | 3030 | 3032 | 56.0 | 2.2499 | ETH above EMA20, MACD histogram positive and expanding. Price near upper BB at 3060 - could face resistance. Smaller size due to proximity to BB upper band and weaker setup vs BTC. Stop at lower BB. |
| 01/13, 15:00 | BTC | LONG | 50% | 3.0x | 91878 | 91486 | 91193 | 59.2 | 15.9740 | BTC above both EMAs, MACD positive histogram, price near upper BB but trend intact. EMA20 > EMA50 crossover confirmed. RSI 59 has room to run. Moderate size given recent losses. |
| 01/13, 14:00 | SOL | LONG | 42% | 4.0x | 176 | 176 | 176 | 41.3 | 0.0638 | SOL near BB mid, MACD histogram turning positive, RSI 41 with room to recover. Previously deeply oversold at 10.9 in cycle -3, now recovering. Targeting BB upper band area. |
| 01/13, 14:00 | ETH | LONG | 40% | 4.0x | 3066 | 3068 | 3071 | 37.7 | 0.0548 | ETH near BB lower half, RSI 37.7 approaching oversold, MACD histogram just turned positive. Tight range with ATR 0.058%. Looking for mean reversion to BB upper. Lower confidence due to persistent weakness. |
| 01/13, 14:00 | BTC | LONG | 45% | 4.0x | 91173 | 91209 | 91228 | 43.2 | 7.9460 | BTC near BB mid, MACD histogram positive and recovering, RSI 43 with room to rise. Price consolidating tightly (ATR 0.035%). EMA20/50 nearly flat suggesting range-bound with slight bullish momentum shift. Moderate position. |
| 01/13, 13:00 | SOL | LONG | 40% | 3.0x | 175 | 176 | 176 | 25.1 | -0.0176 | SOL RSI 25 deeply oversold, price near lower BB 175.05. Mean reversion play toward mid-BB 175.52. MACD hist near zero suggesting momentum exhaustion. Oversold bounce most likely here among the three. |
| 01/13, 13:00 | ETH | LONG | 35% | 3.0x | 3050 | 3060 | 3064 | 32.2 | -0.3082 | ETH RSI 32 oversold, price near lower BB 3052.7. MACD hist negative but flattening. Bounce play toward mid-BB 3059. Tight stop below recent support. Low confidence given losing streak and bearish MACD crossover. |
| 01/13, 13:00 | BTC | HOLD | 20% | 1.0x | 90674 | 90766 | 90834 | 42.2 | 9.9187 | BTC near lower BB, RSI 42 neutral-weak, MACD hist positive but price below both EMAs. Mixed signals. Recent losing streak demands caution. Waiting for clearer setup. |
| 01/13, 12:00 | SOL | LONG | 35% | 3.0x | 175 | 176 | 177 | 10.9 | -0.0458 | SOL RSI at extreme 10.93 - deeply oversold. Price sitting right at lower BB 175.25. Mean reversion setup toward BB mid 175.98. Small size given terrible recent performance. Stop at 174.30 (0.56% below entry, within 0.85/3=28.3% max). TP at 176.50 (0.70% above entry). Low confidence reflects losing streak but RSI this extreme warrants a small position. |
| 01/13, 12:00 | ETH | HOLD | 10% | 1.0x | 3070 | 3076 | 3089 | 33.6 | -0.0346 | ETH RSI 33.6 near oversold, price near lower BB 3063.8, below both EMAs. MACD histogram barely negative. Potential bounce zone but no confirmation yet. Avoiding entry given losing streak. |
| 01/13, 12:00 | BTC | HOLD | 10% | 1.0x | 90932 | 91138 | 91304 | 32.8 | -13.7911 | 0% win rate over 10 trades. BTC below both EMAs, RSI 32.8 near oversold but MACD histogram negative and deepening. Price at lower BB. Waiting for confirmation of reversal before entering - need to stop bleeding capital. |
| 01/13, 11:00 | SOL | HOLD | 10% | 1.0x | 179 | 178 | 179 | 53.9 | -0.0118 | SOL MACD histogram slightly negative, price sandwiched between EMAs with no clear direction. Recent SOL trades all losses. Waiting for clearer setup. |
| 01/13, 11:00 | ETH | LONG | 35% | 2.0x | 3122 | 3117 | 3125 | 56.5 | 1.7832 | ETH showing relative strength: RSI 56.5 (strongest of 3), price above EMA20, MACD histogram positive and crossing up. Price near upper BB 3127 - taking a modest long on momentum shift. Wide stop at ~1% to avoid premature stop-outs that have plagued recent trades. TP at 0.58% giving decent R:R. |
| 01/13, 11:00 | BTC | HOLD | 10% | 1.0x | 91711 | 91662 | 91925 | 49.3 | 47.0544 | 0% win rate over 10 trades - stepping back. BTC price near EMA20 but below EMA50, MACD histogram positive but line still negative. Choppy range, no clear edge. Sitting out to preserve capital. |
| 01/13, 10:00 | SOL | HOLD | 10% | 1.0x | 180 | 180 | 180 | 41.8 | -0.0367 | SOL below both EMAs, MACD negative, RSI 41.82 trending down from oversold bounce. ATR extremely low at 0.054%. No edge with 0% recent win rate. Waiting for momentum confirmation before re-entering. |
| 01/13, 10:00 | ETH | HOLD | 10% | 1.0x | 3154 | 3158 | 3162 | 35.6 | -0.2619 | ETH RSI at 35.58 showing weakness, price at lower BB, MACD bearish crossover. Oversold but no reversal signal yet. 0% win rate demands we wait for clearer setup. |
| 01/13, 10:00 | BTC | HOLD | 10% | 1.0x | 92970 | 92987 | 92992 | 47.2 | -10.3373 | All 10 recent trades are losses. Market is ranging with very low ATR (0.018%). BTC price below both EMAs, MACD histogram negative. No clear edge - sitting out to preserve capital. |
| 01/13, 09:00 | SOL | LONG | 30% | 3.0x | 181 | 181 | 181 | 15.0 | -0.0447 | SOL RSI 15 extremely oversold near lower BB 180.38. Mean reversion bounce candidate toward mid BB 180.9+. Tight sizing given losing streak. Stop ~0.84% below entry, TP ~0.55%. |
| 01/13, 09:00 | ETH | LONG | 35% | 3.0x | 3169 | 3173 | 3179 | 26.9 | -0.1409 | ETH RSI 26.94 deeply oversold, price near lower BB 3167.37. Mean reversion play back toward mid BB 3172.7. Small size due to poor recent performance and bearish MACD. TP ~0.8% from entry. |
| 01/13, 09:00 | BTC | HOLD | 15% | 1.0x | 93184 | 93183 | 93246 | 48.9 | 4.7558 | BTC neutral: price at EMA20, RSI ~49, MACD histogram slightly positive but weak. No clear edge. Recent losing streak demands caution. |
| 01/13, 08:00 | SOL | HOLD | 25% | 3.0x | 182 | 182 | 183 | 48.6 | -0.0346 | SOL consolidating tightly around 182.45, EMAs converged. RSI neutral at 48.6. MACD histogram slightly negative but near zero. ATR 0.034% very low. No directional conviction. Recent 3 consecutive SOL losses suggest my reads on SOL have been poor. Waiting for breakout from this compression. |
| 01/13, 08:00 | ETH | HOLD | 25% | 3.0x | 3200 | 3201 | 3201 | 40.4 | -0.2388 | ETH in tight consolidation range 3195-3208 BB. RSI 40 slightly bearish, MACD histogram negative. ATR only 0.015% - extremely low volatility. No clear directional edge. Recent losing streak warrants caution. Staying flat until clearer setup emerges. |
| 01/13, 08:00 | BTC | HOLD | 35% | 5.0x | 93667 | 93686 | 93688 | 43.2 | -9.2300 | BTC long from 93603 slightly profitable. Price at 93666, near lower BB 93622. MACD histogram negative at -9.23 suggesting weakening momentum, but ATR extremely low (0.011%) indicating consolidation. EMA20/50 nearly converged at ~93687. Holding small position through consolidation - risk is low given tight range. Will reassess if breakdown below BB lower. |
| 01/13, 07:00 | SOL | HOLD | 25% | 1.0x | 182 | 182 | 183 | 32.2 | -0.0074 | SOL RSI at 32.19 oversold, MACD histogram slightly negative (-0.007), price below both EMAs and trending down. Could bounce but no confirmation yet. Multiple recent SOL stop losses - avoiding until clear reversal signal. |
| 01/13, 07:00 | ETH | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 3193 | 3193 | 3206 | 40.9 | 0.9263 | ETH sitting exactly at BB mid with RSI 40.86, weak momentum. MACD histogram barely positive. Price below EMA50 with no clear edge. Waiting for clearer setup given poor recent performance. |
| 01/13, 07:00 | BTC | LONG | 40% | 3.0x | 93603 | 93620 | 93841 | 43.8 | 36.5631 | BTC at BB mid, MACD histogram positive and rising (36.56), MACD line crossing above signal. Price near lower range support. EMA20/50 still bearish but momentum shifting. Conservative size given losing streak. |
| 01/13, 06:00 | SOL | CLOSE | 35% | 1.0x | 184 | 184 | 184 | 43.4 | 0.0528 | SOL long from 185.7 underwater by $36.62. Price at 184 well below entry, below both EMAs, RSI 43 weak. ATR only 0.035% meaning tiny moves. MACD barely positive. Cut loss and wait for better setup. |
| 01/13, 06:00 | ETH | HOLD | 30% | 1.0x | 3227 | 3225 | 3226 | 55.5 | 0.8672 | ETH slightly above EMAs with positive MACD histogram, but ATR is only 0.043% - too low for profitable entries given 0.08% round-trip fees. Staying flat until volatility returns. |
| 01/13, 06:00 | BTC | CLOSE | 30% | 1.0x | 94143 | 94170 | 94228 | 47.1 | 14.8390 | BTC trading right at entry with no clear direction. RSI 47, price below EMA20/EMA50, tight BB range. Poor recent performance suggests reducing exposure. Close to preserve capital. |
| 01/13, 05:00 | SOL | HOLD | 35% | 5.0x | 185 | 186 | 186 | 19.9 | -0.0085 | SOL long from 185.70, currently at 185.44 with -$5.60 PnL. RSI 19.89 deeply oversold which could signal bounce. ATR extremely low at 0.020%. Price near lower BB 185.11. Holding existing position - oversold RSI suggests downside may be limited. Very tight range, not adding size. |
| 01/13, 05:00 | ETH | HOLD | 30% | 5.0x | 3239 | 3243 | 3246 | 31.3 | 0.1328 | ETH RSI 31.33 near oversold, price at lower BB 3238.76, MACD hist just turned positive 0.13. Potential bounce setup but ATR extremely low at 0.031% - spreads and fees would eat any small move. Recent ETH trades all stopped out. Staying flat until clearer setup with more volatility. |
| 01/13, 05:00 | BTC | HOLD | 40% | 5.0x | 94413 | 94489 | 94497 | 40.1 | -1.9597 | BTC long from 94161 showing +$20 PnL. Price at 94412, slightly below EMA20/50. RSI 40 is neutral-weak. MACD hist slightly negative but position is in profit. Holding with existing margin, tight range environment with low ATR 0.065%. Not adding given weak momentum. |
| 01/13, 04:00 | SOL | HOLD | 40% | 5.0x | 185 | 185 | 185 | 55.0 | 0.0790 | SOL slightly above EMA20, RSI 55 mildly bullish, MACD hist positive and improving. Price above BB mid heading toward upper band. Hold existing long - best relative momentum of the three. Entry at 185.7 underwater but setup improving. |
| 01/13, 04:00 | ETH | CLOSE | 40% | 5.0x | 3243 | 3245 | 3249 | 41.3 | 0.4643 | ETH weakest of the three - RSI 41 bearish, price below both EMAs, PnL -22.10. MACD hist barely positive but line still negative. BB squeeze with price near mid. Close to preserve capital given poor win rate and weak structure. |
| 01/13, 04:00 | BTC | HOLD | 35% | 5.0x | 94134 | 94152 | 94174 | 47.9 | 2.6946 | BTC consolidating near EMAs, MACD hist slightly positive showing recovering momentum. Price at BB mid. Holding existing long but not adding - neutral setup. RSI 47.86 neutral. |
| 01/13, 03:00 | SOL | LONG | 35% | 5.0x | 186 | 186 | 186 | 50.6 | 0.1471 | SOL showing early recovery signals: MACD histogram turned positive (0.147), RSI neutral at 50.65, price above EMA20 (185.56) but below EMA50 (186.12). ATR 0.09% suggests low vol. Modest position with wide stop given poor recent win rate on SOL. Target near EMA50/BB upper. |
| 01/13, 03:00 | ETH | HOLD | 45% | 8.0x | 3259 | 3250 | 3254 | 64.3 | 2.5929 | ETH at BB upper band (3259.6), RSI 64.3 approaching overbought, MACD histogram positive at 2.59. Price above both EMAs. Holding existing long with small profit. Risk of rejection at BB upper but momentum still positive. |
| 01/13, 03:00 | BTC | HOLD | 45% | 8.0x | 94139 | 94057 | 94157 | 56.8 | 26.9582 | BTC sitting right at EMA50 (94157), MACD histogram positive at 26.96 showing momentum recovery from oversold (RSI was 24 two cycles ago, now 56.8). Price near BB upper band. Holding existing long - recovery momentum still intact but near resistance. PnL near flat. |
| 01/13, 02:00 | SOL | LONG | 40% | 4.0x | 187 | 188 | 188 | 34.4 | 0.0510 | RSI 34.39 approaching oversold, price near lower BB 186.91. MACD hist positive 0.05 weak bullish signal. Below both EMAs. Moderate conviction bounce trade, smallest allocation. |
| 01/13, 02:00 | ETH | LONG | 42% | 4.0x | 3258 | 3266 | 3279 | 25.5 | 0.5355 | RSI 25.49 oversold, price near lower BB 3249.86. MACD histogram turned positive 0.54 suggesting momentum shift. Targeting mean reversion to mid-BB ~3265. Reduced size due to 30% win rate. |